Crocodiles goal was to get the ponygraph in order to get stronger and become the strongest pirate the bomb was a dead line for the straw hats to defeat him btu there were ways in which they could have stopped them, If they bomb failed there was no reason for crocodile to go and kill everyone...
crocodile didnt pose a immediate threat to every one in alabasta its different with kaido because of SN lose this fight there is nothing stopping him killings every one on the spot. All crocodile wanted is to get more powerful he didnt care what happens to the people or who opposed him, Kaido on...
They will 100% win it for 3 simple reasons
-If they lose there no possible plot in which they can protect their wano allies and citizens from Kaido killing them
-We are nearing the end of the story and they have surpass everyone else (for luffy to become pirate king and for zoro to become wss)...
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