The Scene would have 0 meaning, cuz the Statement was addressed to Drake
It's not about Hawkins, it must be someone related to Drake
So candidates are:
1. Drake himself
2. Law (The One that Drake saved & betrayed Hawkins for)
3. Luffy (The Supernova that Law trusted to help him Defeat Kaido & also Highest Bounty in Alliance)
He could have checked Kaido too, but if it was him, he would have switched sides due to 1%
Since Luffy was already given a Percentage when he entered Wano alongside Zoro
There is Big Chance that Hawkins is referring to either Drake or Law
And i'm 90% leaning towards Law
Or it could be that Hawkins had been checking Luffy and Zoro's survival rate periodically since he first encountered them, and noticed a significant drop in Zoro's, so he kept checking him.
Hawkins is a man who plays the odds, so it would make sense for him to keep tabs on those who entered the Country with the objective to oppose and take down Kaido in case the odds ever shift in their favor.
The Thriller Bark parallel has already been setup for Zoro with this miracle drug. He's going to be receiving double the pain of everything he has endured already, plus what's to come. It just seems out there for Oda to set that up, and it not be linked to Hawkins prediction.
Hawkins has engaged Luffy, Zoro, and Law during the arc, and had a questionable moment with Drake. It would make more sense if he's been looking into all of them over the course of Wano, rather than focused on any single one of them.