Controversial General Political Discussion
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I think the media are rather pushing for a Philippe vs Bardella/Le Pen than Melenchon in second round.
Hence the current "demonization" of LFI. I do not feel like the demonization is working btw.
And then in second round, they will demonize RN again, something they forgot to do the last five years, and the last five years prior to the last presidential election as well.
So you'll have another republican alliance against the RN to put another macronist in charge.
They did that the last 2 elections and it worked pretty well.
Hence the current "demonization" of LFI. I do not feel like the demonization is working btw.
And then in second round, they will demonize RN again, something they forgot to do the last five years, and the last five years prior to the last presidential election as well.
So you'll have another republican alliance against the RN to put another macronist in charge.
They did that the last 2 elections and it worked pretty well.
You mistake US power on paper with its power in reality. I've already linked articles showing how US is pushing its missile power to the limit in Iran, and that goes for the Navy as well with deploying the third US aircraft carrier out of four operational ones. The US is not holding back its air or naval power and that 11000 hits statistic shows it.
The only thing it hasn't mobilized enough of is ground troops, but that is not gonna happen. America does not have the free logistical capacity to invade and occupy Iran without abandoning Europe and East Asia.
This is the limit of America's fighting power in the Middle East in 2026, unlike in 2003 where China and Russia were not much of a threat.
Iran's defense is so bad that the USA lost 12 aircrafts from April 3 to April 5 in Iran:
1 F15, 1 A10, 4 MH6 helicopters, 2 C130, multiple MQ9 Reapers. The total cost of these aircraft is more than half a billion dollars. And these were US special forces using better stealth, training and tactics than any other Arab country in the region.
Its clear that the Iranian inner defenses have not been suppressed like what the DoD or Trump claim.
Besides that, the Gulf states are very fragile. We're in week 6 where they get bombed daily and do nothing despite desalination and petrochemicals being hit which surprised even me.
Their only red line is internal unrest that may lead to their governments being threatened, otherwise they will do nothing unless the US tells them.
The only thing it hasn't mobilized enough of is ground troops, but that is not gonna happen. America does not have the free logistical capacity to invade and occupy Iran without abandoning Europe and East Asia.
This is the limit of America's fighting power in the Middle East in 2026, unlike in 2003 where China and Russia were not much of a threat.
Iran's defense is so bad that the USA lost 12 aircrafts from April 3 to April 5 in Iran:
1 F15, 1 A10, 4 MH6 helicopters, 2 C130, multiple MQ9 Reapers. The total cost of these aircraft is more than half a billion dollars. And these were US special forces using better stealth, training and tactics than any other Arab country in the region.
Its clear that the Iranian inner defenses have not been suppressed like what the DoD or Trump claim.
Besides that, the Gulf states are very fragile. We're in week 6 where they get bombed daily and do nothing despite desalination and petrochemicals being hit which surprised even me.
Their only red line is internal unrest that may lead to their governments being threatened, otherwise they will do nothing unless the US tells them.
They were almost never serious opposition. The only thing that would happen is balkanization of Iran if the current government falls.
While Russia's military failures since 2022 are clear, it still has a big production capacity. Shooting 500 drones every other day is something Iran cannot do.
anyway, send in the Russia cavalry
While Russia's military failures since 2022 are clear, it still has a big production capacity. Shooting 500 drones every other day is something Iran cannot do.
anyway, send in the Russia cavalry
I always oppose a set of continuum of vision of the world, not specific ideas. (ex: the far right continuum)
A continuum of ideas means that one idea is always linked to another set of value which is linked to another set of value, which can all form a continuum with bigger sets of value inside other sets of value/continuum.
It's important to understand politics like this or you will think that you can believe anything independantly of you entire belief system. Which is not how it happens in reality. We are the product of our condition of existence and therefore, our belief system is a continuum, a big set of value (with sometimes, exceptions that will potentially link us to more progressive or more reactionnary values systems/continuum)
Again, what I propose is not random ideas, free from any kind of link or coherence. It's a set of value, a continuum of understanding of the world. It is this continuum that is being attacked on this thread because I myself attack the continuum proposed by people.
So when there is an opposition, it's a global one. Not a local. It only become more local when the person I interact with is closer to my continuum/set of value (like a leftist for ex). The closest and similar a different continuum is, the less I will be likely to be entirely right.
On the opposite, the farther and different a continuum of idea and value is, the more likely two person will be to be completely right or completely wrong.
I'm not right all the time. The problem is that you guyz have a confirmation biases making you completely ignore the moments when I say that I'm wrong (even tho, I do it very clearly). The difference between you and me, is that I affirm or refute my own thinking very clearly and very strongly. But contrary to what most people here thinks, I much more careful about my beliefs system than most people here.
In fact, if you take a lot of time, and you REALLY analyze politically the entirerity of what I wrote on this forum.. you will see a BIG evolution in term of politicization. And you will also see that I was already aware at the beginning that there would be this evolution.
At the beginning of the forum, I was a liberal leftist, now I'm a closer to a revolutionnary. I'm literally saying things that I would disagree with back in the day. Little exemple:
Mate.. I do self reflect. I just don't self-reflect in the way you would like me to do it. If you want me to suddenly respect your political opinion, just know that it is not self-reflection that you are asking, it's conversion. And I understand, I'm trying to do the same.
But at least I'm honest about it. I don't have to respect your political opinion or understanding of the world, I simply have to know when it's better to shut up. That's all.
Perhaps political debate are friendly discussions for you, but for me, it's a question of survival.
A continuum of ideas means that one idea is always linked to another set of value which is linked to another set of value, which can all form a continuum with bigger sets of value inside other sets of value/continuum.
It's important to understand politics like this or you will think that you can believe anything independantly of you entire belief system. Which is not how it happens in reality. We are the product of our condition of existence and therefore, our belief system is a continuum, a big set of value (with sometimes, exceptions that will potentially link us to more progressive or more reactionnary values systems/continuum)
Again, what I propose is not random ideas, free from any kind of link or coherence. It's a set of value, a continuum of understanding of the world. It is this continuum that is being attacked on this thread because I myself attack the continuum proposed by people.
So when there is an opposition, it's a global one. Not a local. It only become more local when the person I interact with is closer to my continuum/set of value (like a leftist for ex). The closest and similar a different continuum is, the less I will be likely to be entirely right.
On the opposite, the farther and different a continuum of idea and value is, the more likely two person will be to be completely right or completely wrong.
I'm not right all the time. The problem is that you guyz have a confirmation biases making you completely ignore the moments when I say that I'm wrong (even tho, I do it very clearly). The difference between you and me, is that I affirm or refute my own thinking very clearly and very strongly. But contrary to what most people here thinks, I much more careful about my beliefs system than most people here.
In fact, if you take a lot of time, and you REALLY analyze politically the entirerity of what I wrote on this forum.. you will see a BIG evolution in term of politicization. And you will also see that I was already aware at the beginning that there would be this evolution.
At the beginning of the forum, I was a liberal leftist, now I'm a closer to a revolutionnary. I'm literally saying things that I would disagree with back in the day. Little exemple:
Mate.. I do self reflect. I just don't self-reflect in the way you would like me to do it. If you want me to suddenly respect your political opinion, just know that it is not self-reflection that you are asking, it's conversion. And I understand, I'm trying to do the same.
But at least I'm honest about it. I don't have to respect your political opinion or understanding of the world, I simply have to know when it's better to shut up. That's all.
Perhaps political debate are friendly discussions for you, but for me, it's a question of survival.
You don't. And I'm not insulting you for it, I'm just stating a fact.
You never actually self reflect, because you're still saying and doing the exact same things you have for a good while now.
Deep down, you probably just believe you don't have much of an incentive to change. That's my personal theory.
You never actually self reflect, because you're still saying and doing the exact same things you have for a good while now.
Deep down, you probably just believe you don't have much of an incentive to change. That's my personal theory.
Disagreeing with your vision of the world and saying that you don't understand something ?
Do you want me to agree with you and say to you that I'm fine with the stuff you guys are saying even when I know from a fact AND experience that it is mostly not the case? Sorry, not happening. Not because this is not me lacking self-reflection, because it is you who do not do the job. Really. There is no evolution from people here.
I reflect on many things politically, but usually these are things that are more leftist than me. I don't have an interest in agreeing with you since, as you always ignore it, I already believed what you believe in and I don't agree with it anymore for FACTUAL reasons.
Aside for very ver far right things and fascist things.. Everything that is being said by you guys in this thread are things that I have said myself in the past. Just not on this forum.
I have an incentive to change. Not change toward more reactionnarism. It's really amazing and funny to see you guy try to depict me as someone who doesn't change when it's actually the opposite that happens.
What you want me to do is agree with you and be respectfull of your bad takes that are actually hurtfull for everyone. Again. Not happening.
----
Again > Since you guyz are blind to my words:
<<< This guy.
<<< Former conspirationist
Do you want me to agree with you and say to you that I'm fine with the stuff you guys are saying even when I know from a fact AND experience that it is mostly not the case? Sorry, not happening. Not because this is not me lacking self-reflection, because it is you who do not do the job. Really. There is no evolution from people here.
I reflect on many things politically, but usually these are things that are more leftist than me. I don't have an interest in agreeing with you since, as you always ignore it, I already believed what you believe in and I don't agree with it anymore for FACTUAL reasons.
Aside for very ver far right things and fascist things.. Everything that is being said by you guys in this thread are things that I have said myself in the past. Just not on this forum.
I have an incentive to change. Not change toward more reactionnarism. It's really amazing and funny to see you guy try to depict me as someone who doesn't change when it's actually the opposite that happens.
What you want me to do is agree with you and be respectfull of your bad takes that are actually hurtfull for everyone. Again. Not happening.
----
Again > Since you guyz are blind to my words:
<<< This guy.
<<< Former conspirationist
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Less than 100 years later, and the German government is lining its boys up to die for racist genocidal liars again.
Sad as hell.
We never got rid of the forces that actually funded Nazi Germany, we just pretended we did.
The problem was rich people and the shitty religions they rule.
Same problem as NOW, WOW
When I die, one of the first things I wanna ask people is, how much money the abrahamic religions made murdering and raping children while fake assholes pretended they didn't know they were doing it.
Every crusade, and every crusader, is a big fat phony.
That's not even flying close to the sun you're basically french kissing it at this point
All I ever hear about that site is how much gore and child pornography is on there. You should never be on that type of site.
This isn't even me accusing you of using it for those things, I'm just saying you shouldn't risk seeing them.
All I ever hear about that site is how much gore and child pornography is on there. You should never be on that type of site.
This isn't even me accusing you of using it for those things, I'm just saying you shouldn't risk seeing them.
