There was a early-draft that Shanks would be a knight, thus Shamrock, I dare say the plot of Loki was already planned too, Elbalf is one of those plots Oda had planned way before, even before the Warlords became a thing, wich expanded the story
he just adapts to the current scenario
I thinky CG is the silver bullet about it being his final fight.
CG will clash with Luffy for One Piece, and fail, Mihawk is unlikely to outlive CG as narrative device.
So I think he is going down whatever the CG fails.
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