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I guess if you would win in the lotterie it would mean you would always guess correct after and win every single time? That's what kinda logic you use.
Nah if something happens time and time again (me being right about what happens in wano) then it scientifically becomes more than just a coincidence.

Your first point depends on how many times the lotteries was played and how many times that singular person won. Not winning once
 
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