[FNZ] Role Madness One Piece Whole Cake Island

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MonochromeYoru

MonochromeYoru

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#1,082
#1,082
Natalija said:
Let me speak slowly. If you've got 8 rotten apples and 16 good apples, then the probability of getting a rotten apple randomly is 8/24 (33%).

Probability (X or Y) = P(X) + P(Y) - P (X and Y - case where both are scum)

8/24 + 8/24 - 1/24 = 15/24 = circa 63%

So, with two players you get almost double the probability that one is scum.
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Ngl this is a weak argument.

Unless I'm not understanding it correctly, the same odds apply to you too. Actually apply to everyone since it's d1 and no one has died so far.

So should we think of you as scum since the probability dictates so?
 
Natalija

Natalija

x
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#1,087
#1,087
Dr_Professor83 said:
I also asked you to explain your game thoughts on the subject but you cherry picked the CWAC thing to lean into
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No, you chose to focus on my probability comment, and that's what I'm answering because also Dest and Susopp asked.

All my thoughts are already in the thread, there's not much else to do in 5 min
 
Emil

Emil

Kekko Taro
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#1,089
#1,089
also flower town waste like a whole 20 hours on a wagon with no case dont go now blaming it on me for having fun before claiming, atleast im enjoying the game now
 
Dr_Professor83

Dr_Professor83

False Idol
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#1,094
#1,094
Natalija said:
No, you chose to focus on my probability comment, and that's what I'm answering because also Dest and Susopp asked.

All my thoughts are already in the thread, there's not much else to do in 5 min
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You’ve given details on what doesn’t look TvT between Ekko & Dest content wise?

And how you’d approach Dest tomorrow if Ekko flips town?

I called your probability comment horeshit and then started trying to pull real thoughts out of you which you no sold in favor of the “math”
 
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