[FNZ] Role Madness One Piece Whole Cake Island

[Natalija]

what?

Let me speak slowly. If you've got 8 rotten apples and 16 good apples, then the probability of getting a rotten apple randomly is 8/24 (33%).

Probability (X or Y) = P(X) + P(Y) - P (X and Y - case where both are scum)

8/24 + 8/24 - 1/24 = 15/24 = circa 63%

So, with two players you get almost double the probability that one is scum.

 

[Pot Goblin]

In a meeting brb

 

[Dr_Professor83]

thats because the entire day has resolved around a single wagon so it feels wasteful, and i obviously don't have teammates or any help to steer anywhere, and i cant even rely on my townmates to work with me in regards of solving my wagon

at certain point i shud just give u guys ur lynch and let u pick up the pieces from there for sake of ur puny little POEs

Who do you want to lynch?

 

[Emil]

20 mins left anyone else wanna guess?

 

[Natalija]

ironic coming from you, you can feign ignorance its bliss i suppose.

but ill note you avoided the questioning on kek vs dest.

Note it in red writing

 

[Dr_Professor83]

Let me speak slowly. If you've got 8 rotten apples and 16 good apples, then the probability of getting a rotten apple randomly is 8/24 (33%).

Probability (X or Y) = P(X) + P(Y) - P (X and Y - case where both are scum)

8/24 + 8/24 - 1/24 = 15/24 = circa 63%

So, with two players you get almost double the probability that one is scum.

This is absolute horse shit and you are CWAC by continuing on with it as a real way to hunt scum

 

[Natalija]

This is absolute horse shit and you are CWAC by continuing on with it as a real way to hunt scum

It's literal math.

 

[Emil]

Who do you want to lynch?

nat, TAC, tpein, cal, maybe juice and maybe kerko

X can stay his responses were ok. do still feel like hes not up to his same level of town leader from last game. could be indie trying to take it easy

 

[TheAncientCenturion]

Yes it was a serious vote to help Dest generate pressure

 

[Flower]

Prof vs Nat sounds TvT to me. Get a grip, guys.

 

[Emil]

It's literal math.

ur not going to win game by math otherwise just roll a dice rn and lynch, fk outta here

 

[Dr_Professor83]

It's literal math.

Okay how does it help find scum? And why is it worth commenting on? It’s useless lol. Like completely and utterly so.

And you’re wasting a ton of time breaking it down vs explaining what doesn’t look townie v townie between Ekko/Dest with your words or giving your full thoughts on them

 

[Dr_Professor83]

Prof vs Nat sounds TvT to me. Get a grip, guys.

If she’s town she’s playing like a bot

 

[Natalija]

Prof vs Nat sounds TvT to me. Get a grip, guys.

He's become like Usopp:
- "Hey Nat, explain it to me like I'm 5"
- I explain it
- Horseshit

 

[TheAncientCenturion]

I appreciate Nat's cold, utilitarian approach of axing members off of probability. (I think, I haven't read this discussion besides the maths comment).

 

[Flower]

If she’s town she’s playing like a bot

I don‘t like her content rn much either, but her being so stubborn is usually Town Nat.

 

[Emil]

15 mins left, any other guesses?

 

[Natalija]

Okay how does it help find scum? And why is it worth commenting on? It’s useless lol. Like completely and utterly so.

And you’re wasting a ton of time breaking it down vs explaining what doesn’t look townie v townie between Ekko/Dest with your words or giving your full thoughts on them

You asked me to explain why is it more probable. I don't know why you're triggered by my explanation now

 

[Flower]

He's become like Usopp:
- "Hey Nat, explain it to me like I'm 5"
- I explain it
- Horseshit

Get along.

 

[Dr_Professor83]

nat, TAC, tpein, cal, maybe juice and maybe kerko

X can stay his responses were ok. do still feel like hes not up to his same level of town leader from last game. could be indie trying to take it easy

We have similar POE minus Juice

Pein can be anything to me but fine with him in POE. If including him there why leave off Psychic?

And Tac I lean more town still even tho I can see him as possible scum