It is the case. Again added context matters
No it doesn't
No amount of "context" is going to change the fact that it's a 1/50 chance just like any other role
If ur fave color was red and a spinner containing the colors red, blue, and yellow was spun and landed on red
No amount of "how much ur fave color is red" is going to have any effect at all on the result
Jesus christ, idk y I have to even explain this