as opposed to your theory being 100% factual?
we're both assuming stuff
difference is, yours is a convoluted string of assumptions based on the underlying reasoning that kidd will come back and have a big role.
Mine is based on basic facts from the story.
Occam's razor and all that
Also, there's no difference between the big mom shanks situation btw. Both times, he didn't get to see the yonko themselves. He was repelled by their subordinates. difference was, shanks' commanders are stronger, so kidd lost an arm. And then it became personal.