MangoSenpai

Man of faith
Michelle - Unsure but probably town, the interactions with Alexis seemed fine

The Orca - Unsure, Don't really have an opinion on them yet
So you've no opinions on the fact that Orca's been allegedly blocked two nights in a row and both nights there's been -1 night kill?
MangoSenpai - Probably town, posts seem genuine
Genuine? What's that supposed to mean?

What makes me different to Ratchet and Fuji? Am I not trying to solve and actively engage in the thread like they are?



:luffyswat:
Yeah you're on the hanging waitlinst
 
Yeah sure, But I have made it clear in past games I am not good at reading people and reads lists.

Ratchet - Town, seems to be trying to solve and engage

Hayumi - 50/50 lean could go either way, mostly basing this off what other players have been saying

York - Town, posts seem genuine, the Hayumi call out would be a risk is they themselves were scum

Polar Bear - Unsure, don't have enough to give an opinion on them

Fujishiro -Town, actively engaging and trying to solve

Michelle - Unsure but probably town, the interactions with Alexis seemed fine

KWEH - Unsure about his ability? A jail which blocks someone but then protects them from any kills?

MangoSenpai - Probably town, posts seem genuine

Alwaysmind - Unsure, don't have enough to give an opinion on them

The Orca - Unsure, Don't really have an opinion on them yet

DkKoba - Unsure, but does seem to come off as genuine in his interactions.
Even with the explanations this seems very hedgy for d4
 

MangoSenpai

Man of faith
Why is the activity so low?
I think it boils down to the current PoE having little in the way of leads to challenge the current consensus, and I'd assume in the same vein it's mostly a select cast of players that regularly contribute; which results in an inevitable stagnation of new information and leads to pursue.

I guess the question most prevalent in this time and place is whether or not the wagons have stagnated on scums who have cornered themselves into a situation where they have made it incredibly difficult trying to change course without raising suspicion; or if it is on Town and scum is content with where the direction is going and feels no pressure or neccesity to stir the pot


Hayumi isn't really trying to defend themselves too much, and Orca is the unequivocal counter-wagon to Hayumi.

I'd say there's about a 95% chance (taking away 5% just because nothing is certain) that at least is 1 scum in these two.
It could honestly be a scum on scum wagon also, like mafia trying to off what they believe to be the SK to save their own skin.

While yes, there's only one member of mafia having fallen, mafia is not in a really in a very favorable situation here either.
Though their subterfuge and reliance on town eating itself up has been creating a very tense and heavy atmosphere in the thread now, the fact of the matter is that they are only a handful of wrong moves away from the dominoes of their demise to start falling.


Considering every, while individually not very strong, evidences pointing towards suspicious activities which I've repeated several times already, with the new claim by York + the fact that Hayumi seems to not really fight for their survival - I am feeling quite confident in this direction.

Orca is obviously not in the clear either, but he is effectively just a distraction as things stand.
 

MangoSenpai

Man of faith
Though I'd be curious as to hear your reasoning behind opting to go for Orca over Hayumi here @Michelle

As far as I can see, you're not even really adressing that wagon at all. I find that to be, well, curious.

Now correct me if I'm wrong, but I think maybe that lynching Hayumi goes against your interest, and so by not giving it any attention you are hoping that people will get distracted long enough to lose interest and focus on him to slowly trickle town into going for Orca instead
 
I’ve been at work all day so haven’t had time to check in but I’d appreciate if we could get more votes elsewhere.

I targeted Ekko, not Flower. Whatever happened after that can only be explained by the scum who either redirected me onto her, or bus drove us.
 
Though I'd be curious as to hear your reasoning behind opting to go for Orca over Hayumi here @Michelle

As far as I can see, you're not even really adressing that wagon at all. I find that to be, well, curious.

Now correct me if I'm wrong, but I think maybe that lynching Hayumi goes against your interest, and so by not giving it any attention you are hoping that people will get distracted long enough to lose interest and focus on him to slowly trickle town into going for Orca instead
I have nothing against any of them, I just voted to see what's happening.

I trust no one in this game sice Alexis died and I had very little time to read and evaluate slots.

Koba has a extremely weird claim for a villager, and he is in a very interesting way out of the Poe after so many dead villagers suspected them.
You started to be active recently like you are closer to win the game and did it after suspicions rised.
Kweh comes with small inputs and he can go either way as well. His claim however seems true.
Hayumi fights against the lynch with a pretty logical sentence (rude but often proved true, last example being Hime's lynch)
Not a bitch in sight to defend me. Yall are getting played and deserve to lose at this rate
Orca is silent. Btw @The Orca are you still playing the game?

I had to make a break here, weekend is not mafia friendly but I wish to post it though
 
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