A Cinera lynch isn't all too helpful. Even if he does flip Mafia instead of survivor, Mel's role is still unknown, and isn't worth having her getting killed by the vig. We'll have to wait until next DP to lynch her(unless we got a trigger-happy vig). However, for Cinera to flip survivor then we practically wasted an entire day phase. We might as well have just no lynched. A survivor lynch provides zero info. It's worse than a mislynch.
The better route in my opinion is to lynch another suspected player like Mel for example. If she flips Town or Mafia then we can get some info from either flip. That alone automatically makes it better than a survivor lynch. Cinera is still confirmed to be non-town, right? You just gotta kill him N1. This way we take out 2 potential scums in one cycle AND we gain info.
The way I see it...
Cinera Lynch
1. Cinera flips Mafia - some info but nothing concrete.
2. Cinera flips survivor - nothing.
Vig is unlikely to take action N1 and Mel is at best gonna get copped.
Mel Lynch
1. She flips Town or Mafia - gain info. We get to revise her posts to look for scum buddies or players who were suspicious when bandwagoning her lynch.
2. Cinera gets popped N1 cause why wouldn't he? Especially if Mel does flip Mafia.
The second scenario > the first one.
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isn't this a bastard game?
Yeah? There can be survivors in a bastard game. I don't see an issue.