Oda did the same thing in a prev Jump Festa by promising Wano the next year but it didn't happen. Simply because he underestimated how long WCI could go. And we got to Wano as soon as the arc ended.
What can be expected is that Shanks will make "his move" as soon as Onigashima ends. COVID also lessened the chapter count that he predicted last year so take that into account as well.
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