Role Madness Too Many Doctors (Game Thread)

[Alexis2282AE]

If you already targeted one of the four suspected wolves (Ali, Luka, The Orca, Alwaysmind), let me know.

 

[Random Asshole]

• 01. @Ali v2 (Suspected Wolf): Target @Luka.
• 02. @Luka (Suspected Wolf): Target @The Orca.
• 03. @Yoho (Assumed Town):
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
  • If Doctor: Target Ali.
• 04. @Daniel (Assumed Town):
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
  • If Doctor: Target Ali.
• 06. @Alexis2282AE (Town):
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
  • If Doctor: Target Ali.
• 07. @Yo Tan Wa (Assumed Town):
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
  • If Doctor: Target Luka.
• 08. @Michelle (Assumed Town):
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
  • If Doctor: Target Luka.
• 09. EkkoLoJinx (Assumed Lynched)
• 10. @Random Asshole (Assumed Town):
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
  • If Doctor: Target Luka.
• 11. @Stargate18 (Assumed Town):
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
  • If Doctor: Target @The Orca.
• 12. @Alwaysmind (Suspected Wolf): Target Ali. (Town expects you to be targeted by multiple Doctors).
• 13. @York (Assumed Town):
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
  • If Doctor: Target The Orca.
• 14. @The Orca (Suspected Wolf): Target Alwaysmind. (Town expects you to be targeted by multiple Doctors).
• 15. @Polar Bear (Assumed Town):
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
  • If Doctor: Target The Orca.
• 16. @Red Night (Assumed Town):
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
  • If Doctor: Target Alwaysmind.
• 17. @hime (Assumed Town):
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
  • If Doctor: Target Alwaysmind.
• 18. @Hayumi (Assumed Town):
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
  • If Doctor: Target Alwaysmind.

Breakdown​

• Each of the four suspected wolves (Ali, Luka, The Orca, Alwaysmind) is assigned a group of three Town members.
  One of these 12 Town members is the Watcher. The other 11 are Doctors.
  If the Watcher is in a group of three assigned to a wolf: That wolf will be targeted by the remaining two Doctors in that group. Two Doctor visits = Wolf dies.
  If the Watcher is NOT in a group of three assigned to a wolf (i.e., all three in that group are Doctors): That wolf will be targeted by three Doctors. Three Doctor visits = Wolf dies.
  Therefore, all four suspected wolves are expected to die tonight due to receiving 2 or 3 Doctor visits each.
  The Mafia Doctor's protection will be ineffective against 2+ Doctor visits.
• The Mafia will still get their factional night kill. Since Town Doctors are on offensive duties, one Town member will likely die. This is a trade of 1 Townie for 4 Wolves.

Risks and Contingencies

• The primary risk to a wolf surviving is the Mafia JOAT
  • If a wolf is being targeted by exactly two Doctors (because the Watcher is in their assigned group of three), AND the JOAT successfully roleblocks one of those two specific Doctors, that wolf will only receive one Doctor visit and will survive.
  • Calculation: There are 12 Townies. The Watcher is 1 of them. For any specific wolf, the chance the Watcher is in their group of 3 is 3/12 (or 1/4). If so, that wolf is targeted by 2 Doctors. The JOAT has 11 active Town Doctors to choose from. The chance the JOAT hits one of those 2 specific Doctors is 2/11.
  • So, the probability for a specific wolf to survive due to this scenario is (3/12) * (2/11) = 1/4 * 2/11 = 2/44 = 1/22 (approximately 4.5%). While low for one wolf, the chance that at least one wolf survives this way is higher.
• If a wolf survives tonight: It is most likely because the Watcher was in their assigned group of three, AND the Mafia JOAT roleblocked one of the two Doctors targeting that specific wolf.
• Watcher's results on Ali:
  1. You should see visits from either two or three Town Doctors (Yoho, Daniel, me (Alexis), depending on which one of them, if any, is you, the Watcher). You might also see a visit from Alwaysmind (as per their assigned action) or a Mafia Doctor attempting a (pointless) protection.
  2. If you get no results: This likely means you were roleblocked by the JOAT, or any visitors to Ali were made undetectable by the JOAT's Sensei ability.

Is this a ChatGPT post?

 

[Hayumi]

if the order doesnt really matter then y not vote ekko who is being voted by multiple ppl?
this is sus, esp the timing of it all

I was voting you way before the whole game jumped on Ekko. Which makes me even less inclined to want to vote him

 

[Yoho]

• 01. @Ali v2 (Suspected Wolf): Target @Luka.
• 02. @Luka (Suspected Wolf): Target @The Orca.
• 03. @Yoho (Assumed Town):
  
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
    
  • If Doctor: Target Ali.
    
• 04. @Daniel (Assumed Town):
  
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
    
  • If Doctor: Target Ali.
    
• 06. @Alexis2282AE (Town):
  
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
    
  • If Doctor: Target Ali.
    
• 07. @Yo Tan Wa (Assumed Town):
  
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
    
  • If Doctor: Target Luka.
    
• 08. @Michelle (Assumed Town):
  
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
    
  • If Doctor: Target Luka.
    
• 09. EkkoLoJinx (Assumed Lynched)
• 10. @Random Asshole (Assumed Town):
  
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
    
  • If Doctor: Target Luka.
    
• 11. @Stargate18 (Assumed Town):
  
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
    
  • If Doctor: Target @The Orca.
    
• 12. @Alwaysmind (Suspected Wolf): Target Ali. (Town expects you to be targeted by multiple Doctors).
• 13. @York (Assumed Town):
  
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
    
  • If Doctor: Target The Orca.
    
• 14. The Orca (Suspected Wolf): Target Alwaysmind. (Town expects you to be targeted by multiple Doctors).
• 15. @Polar Bear (Assumed Town):
  
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
    
  • If Doctor: Target The Orca.
    
• 16. @Red Night (Assumed Town):
  
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
    
  • If Doctor: Target Alwaysmind.
    
• 17. @hime (Assumed Town):
  
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
    
  • If Doctor: Target Alwaysmind.
    
• 18. @Hayumi (Assumed Town):
  
  • If Watcher: Target Ali.
    
  • If Doctor: Target Alwaysmind.
    

Breakdown​

• Each of the four suspected wolves (Ali, Luka, The Orca, Alwaysmind) is assigned a group of three Town members.
  One of these 12 Town members is the Watcher. The other 11 are Doctors.
  If the Watcher is in a group of three assigned to a wolf: That wolf will be targeted by the remaining two Doctors in that group. Two Doctor visits = Wolf dies.
  If the Watcher is NOT in a group of three assigned to a wolf (i.e., all three in that group are Doctors): That wolf will be targeted by three Doctors. Three Doctor visits = Wolf dies.
  Therefore, all four suspected wolves are expected to die tonight due to receiving 2 or 3 Doctor visits each.
  The Mafia Doctor's protection will be ineffective against 2+ Doctor visits.
• The Mafia will still get their factional night kill. Since Town Doctors are on offensive duties, one Town member will likely die. This is a trade of 1 Townie for 4 Wolves.

Risks and Contingencies

• The primary risk to a wolf surviving is the Mafia JOAT
  • If a wolf is being targeted by exactly two Doctors (because the Watcher is in their assigned group of three), AND the JOAT successfully roleblocks one of those two specific Doctors, that wolf will only receive one Doctor visit and will survive.
  • Calculation: There are 12 Townies. The Watcher is 1 of them. For any specific wolf, the chance the Watcher is in their group of 3 is 3/12 (or 1/4). If so, that wolf is targeted by 2 Doctors. The JOAT has 11 active Town Doctors to choose from. The chance the JOAT hits one of those 2 specific Doctors is 2/11.
  • So, the probability for a specific wolf to survive due to this scenario is (3/12) * (2/11) = 1/4 * 2/11 = 2/44 = 1/22 (approximately 4.5%). While low for one wolf, the chance that at least one wolf survives this way is higher.
    
• If a wolf survives tonight: It is most likely because the Watcher was in their assigned group of three, AND the Mafia JOAT roleblocked one of the two Doctors targeting that specific wolf.
• Watcher's results on Ali:
  1. You should see visits from either two or three Town Doctors (Yoho, Daniel, me (Alexis), depending on which one of them, if any, is you, the Watcher). You might also see a visit from Alwaysmind (as per their assigned action) or a Mafia Doctor attempting a (pointless) protection.
  2. If you get no results: This likely means you were roleblocked by the JOAT, or any visitors to Ali were made undetectable by the JOAT's Sensei ability.
     

Hmm The way Ali has been playing makes me think he's town, and maybe we go through with this plan but the odds of all four being scum is astronomically low especially given we don't have nearly enough information to make a gamble of this magnitude, you might get lucky and hit one scum, hell maybe even two

But all four being scum? Extremely unlikely

Im unfortunately the type who solves base on moves and actions and not necessarily thread play so everyone having the same ability makes it a bit harder for me personally to accurately pin point suspects

 

[Alexis2282AE]

Is this a ChatGPT post?

No.

 

[Alexis2282AE]

[QUOTE="Yoho, post: 6123478, member: 79450"]Hmm The way Ali has been playing makes me think he's town, and maybe we go through with this plan but the odds of all four being scum is astronomically low especially given we don't have nearly enough information to make a gamble of this magnitude, you might get lucky and hit one scum, hell maybe even two

But all four being scum? Extremely unlikely

Im unfortunately the type who solves base on moves and actions and not necessarily thread play so everyone having the same ability makes it a bit harder for me personally to accurately pin point suspects[/QUOTE]
How so?

 

[Alexis2282AE]

Hmm The way Ali has been playing makes me think he's town, and maybe we go through with this plan but the odds of all four being scum is astronomically low especially given we don't have nearly enough information to make a gamble of this magnitude, you might get lucky and hit one scum, hell maybe even two

But all four being scum? Extremely unlikely

Im unfortunately the type who solves base on moves and actions and not necessarily thread play so everyone having the same ability makes it a bit harder for me personally to accurately pin point suspects

How so?

 

[Hayumi]

So at this point if Ekko is scum damn near his whole team is probably bussing

 

[Random Asshole]

No.

Then I commend you for formatting as neatly as you do while posting as much as you do

 

[Alexis2282AE]

Then I commend you for formatting as neatly as you do while posting as much as you do

I use this application to assist: https://www.sceditor.com/

 

[Yoho]

How so?

I think Scumli would be the type to coast and go with any plan presented here he's giving push back he's making a solid town core and much of what he's trying to say sounds like something a town would say.

@Ali v2 you arent scum right ?

 

[Alexis2282AE]

Is this a ChatGPT post?

@Alwaysmind I see that you liked that post. Give reads.

 

[Alwaysmind]

Reminder: Ali was one of the leading voters on Mango's wagon.

Friendly reminder that I've been on Dr. Crayola's case since day 1. You were no where near him yesterday, but today you have been acting like you have been solving Dr. Crayola since his first post. Why were you the only one voting Dr. Ratchet?

Day 1 Final Vote Count!

MangoSepai (7): Red Light, Ali V2, York, Crowned Witch, Ekkolojinx. Michelle, Daniel
Ekkolojinx (3): Yo Tan Wah, hime, AlwaysMind
Hime (3): Flower, Fujishiro, Polar Bear
Flower (2): MangoSenpai, Yoho
Ratchet (1): Alexis


------------------------
Day 1 will end: May 29th of 2025, 3PM EST (7pm GMT).
The player with the most votes will die at the end of the day.
If there is a tie, one will be eliminated at random.
When voting, please use the biggest font so I can see it. :)

Quote of the Day
"Healthy positivity means making space for both reality and hope".


--------------------------------------------------------

Day 1 Elimination
@MangoSenpai - Town Doctor​

So I've come to ignore your lecturing. Stay in your own office bro.

 

[Alexis2282AE]

Friendly reminder that I've been on Dr. Crayola's case since day 1. You were no where near him yesterday, but today you have been acting like you have been solving Dr. Crayola since his first post. Why were you the only one voting Dr. Ratchet?



So I've come to ignore your lecturing. Stay in your own office bro.

That's called TMI.

 

[Alexis2282AE]

I never reveal my full extended PoE because it gives me no benefit.

 

[Alwaysmind]

@Alwaysmind I see that you liked that post. Give reads.

I don't answer you rhetorical questions anymore. Sorry Dr. Alexis.

 

[Alwaysmind]

That's called TMI.

Too much information would be sharing the consistency of last bowel movement Dr. Alexis. Asking you why you voted and stayed on the lowest possible wagon isn't it.

 

[Alexis2282AE]

Too much information would be sharing the consistency of last bowel movement Dr. Alexis. Asking you why you voted and stayed on the lowest possible wagon isn't it.

You're a wolf. Leaving it at that once more. Ekko gets lynched, and then victory follows.

 

[Alwaysmind]

I never reveal my full extended PoE because it gives me no benefit.

I'm not asking for a dissertation, I'm jsut asking why you conveniently stayed away from all the other wagons. Or did you just vote Dr. Ratchet jsut because you had to cast a vote?

 

[Alwaysmind]

I'll interpret this as Dr. Alexis just votes randomly.
Until proven otherwise.

Glad we cleared that up.