I'd say this much. If Dest flips scum, you look great (based on watching). If he flips town, you and Juliet look terrible (basically means Juliet is soul guy and is playing from her pm without posting). If Michelle (or Rottkins but there i really don't think so) flips scum, Kagu looks much better, if both flip town, well not do much.
Can you dog out what exactly Odd said about Usopp btw?
But still, id say that the worst case scenario (assuming no more vig shots and single faction kill) is 3 scum vs 6 towns (am i counting this right?) at which point it's way to close for my taste. Let's hope at least 2 scum dies today.