I'd image this fight would transpire relatively similar to Toji vs Dagon.
Especially when the characters that actually fought Dagon confirmed that Jogo was considerably stronger than him
let's also not forget that they both fought against Sukuna and Maki's performance was notably better.
Sukuna toyed with her and finished her off easily when he chose to
If you reread the fight you'll notice that there's a pretty significant gap in their stats
Sukuna sent her flying into the building and appeared behind her before she even landed
He blitzed her right after this too
If current heavily nerfed Sukuna can do this to Maki then 15F fresh Sukuna is taking her apart in seconds
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