Scenario 1: Law dies (unlikely)
This is the most realistic scenario if OP abides strictly by power-scaling and BB's desire to collect the strongest DF, but OP is not. Also Law is way too popular of a character to get killed off.
Scenario 2: Law loses, but lives (likely)
This is the most likely...
The only reason that Kizaru is still alive right now is because his boss daddy Akainu commanded him to sit his ass back down on the marine toilet and not to go to Wano. Otherwise the marine would have to pay $5B instead for Kaido's head for publicly raping an admiral.
It doesn't matter Blackbeard withdrew because of Rayleigh's presence.
Both BB himself and Rayleigh know evey well that BB > Old Ray.
BB is just a very calculated person and weights the cost/benefit of each battle.
He is a "true pirate" in that sense, more than anyone we have seen in OP.
If...
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