Putting the geography debate aside, I don't believe Winner Island was the island in the Northeast as the log pose indicated. I think Beehive is the island in the Northeast; Law fled when Blackbeard began following him, and they eventually ended up on Winner Island.
This could mean Luffy will go to Elbaf and Beehive, in that order.
This could mean Luffy will go to Elbaf and Beehive, in that order.