Imho, I still do not think Elbaf is the proper escalation for a major, final conflict, but rather its own thing that will eventually lead to the "big one". I dont think the military will be fought in isolation from other factions after Egghead, this is what Egghead is for (to let Luffy defeat at least l one Admiral alone). Pointers to this is just the fact that Elbaf is not even the 2nd to last (Lodestar) or potentially 3rd to last island (Law had a destination further than Kid), and you have people like Shanks leaving the location without so much as a hint to the burned man being in Elbaf.
What I think happens is:
- Egghead (Kizaru's defeat) causes Akainu to mobilize towards the end of GL to "end" Piracy, but it wont be Elbaf, just buildup to the next thing
- Saturn will get what he wants, Pacifista/Seraphim and the Mother Flame
- RA starts their assault on the WG
- CG recruits and amasses their power
- Caribou, at some point, spills the beans on the Burned Man to Blackbeard's crew after being captured/tortured(imho this is the person he has been talking about or at least retconned to be).
- If theres some semblance of the Lurking Legend/Rocks plot, itll be central to Elbaf first because of Vegapunks ties to Stussy (a Rocks pirate Clone and Underworld member)
So basically:
- Egghead and Elbaf are still buildups and self contained arcs that escalate issues/conflict
- The island after Elbaf or Lodestar will serve as the major war conflict between Akainu and the 4 Yonko (with the Burned Man)
- God Valley is in fact Uranus and the Weapon the WG uses the mother flame for, and thus will be be central to the WG being involved around this point.
- LT will be the final fight with whomever survives the above.
You can switch God Valley and LT depending on the circumstance, but I fully believe the larger war comes between Elbaf and Laugh Tale.
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Edit: Really just focusing on Elbaf, i "can" actually see it being Burned Man focused (not Saul) since he's mentioned once post Wano and again during Egghead, which when you consider relevancy of things like this (i.e. "Joker" in Punk Hazard and subsequently Kaido), it would point to the next big plotline being centered around this person.
So maybe not the "big war" just yet but Luffy fighting this "roaming Yonko" in a way since they have an RP. Then post Elbaf, they become the target of all other factions.