I put it this way:
Oda basically flat out confirmed that Luffy is lagging behind Kid and Law's routes to LT in the end. This is because Kid's route led him to Elbaf, and island still hidden by Oda that fundamentally needs to still be visited.
This all makes sense because the island routes eventually have to converge to Lodestar.
This means, in theory, we have at least:
- Egghead
- ***
- Elbaf (Kid's route).
- ***
- Law's original destination (it was not Winner Island)
- ***
- Lodestar
- Laugh Tale
The ***'s account for any "possible" islands in between (i.e. Fullalead, Underworld, etc) since we cant tell currently if Luffy is lagging 1 or 2 islands behind Kid, then Law.
Then, this doesnt even assume the story ends at Laugh Tale, but rather Mariejois because of the FI prophecy. And if anyone has seen my "God Valley is Uranus" thread, I do actually think some event will take place on top of the weapon, likely near the endgame.
Give or take, ~300 chapters at minimum personally. Oda wants to end the story faster, but I think he's finding that even with a lightning pace, he cannot accelerate the actual journey because the geography he created wont let him.
And i cant see Egghead currently ending in anything less than 30-40 chapters at this rate, nor Elbaf being exactly "short".
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@Bepo I mean, ask yourself: 1200 is 114 chapters away, and we havent even seen Elbaf, Lodestar and Laugh Tale yet in the least and we arent even done with Egghead. 114 chapters is less than Wano by itself lol.