It’s not dumb because it works a lot of times. The other times when a townie gets lynched this also helps to get reads on a lot of people and their reactions - like why did they join the wagon, what reasoning they gave, who was the counter wagon etc….. so lot of information can be gained. Also if someone is suspected by a lot of people they are asked to claim at first. The wagon is shifted to someone else depending on their claim.
Ye I get all that. The first half of this is much more applicable to deadline lynch tho, whereas in majority lynch, yea you can try and analyze wagon behavior at EoD but it's that much more difficult if you end up no-lynching and don't have a flip to work with. And with that in the back of their minds, like I said people tend to get roped into lynches they don't agree with just so they have a flip at all.
Case in point, if this was EoD and it was, say, Chevy or no-lynch for today, I probably would go for that lynch even though Chevy is far from my top choice so far. I don't really mind Chevy so far but he's also not staggeringly towny imo.