Reborn

Throughout Heaven & Earth,I alone am d Honored One
Maybe . I just watch all this crazy military podcast lately lol.

I doubt this democracy and so called Regime change ever worked in Iraq and Afghanistan . Even if Iran regime is toppled whats guarantee if the newregine will be any good imagine some extremists gets hold on to power .
Number of US troops in Iran is nowhere near the number of troops US deployed in Iraq and Afghanistan.

It's safe to assume that as of now US isn't planning to overthrow regime.

At most, we might see some troops landing on few islands..but mainland? Nah
 
To be fair democracy does not work out in middle east. There has been cult of personality that rules the country.

Even if Pehalvi gets his puppet regime there will opposition faction that can create trouble and the Pehalvi guy is not experienced enough to run Iranian regime.
 
He literally bombed a general in the 4 years he was in office before?

Difference is he now has BB who's willing to go to war with him.
do you need me to explain how 1 general is not the same as the supreme leader and a whole lot of other generals?

he had bb's support from day 1 lol. bb has also been salivating at the chance to end iran for years. so if it was just a matter of bb's support, this shit woulda happened in his first term
Get away with what? He's already tanking in polls regardless
he wasn't before the files. at least not too much
You see how unhinged this mentality is? You can literally attribute the ICE stuff to a "distraction" from the epstein files lmao

I just don't think the U.S voters care that much about the files, not as much as to swing elections
everyone besides hardcore maga cares about the files

ICE stuff happened, people were killed, and what exactly did that do to affect their support from their base? nothing

so yeah, they would absolutely use the ICE stuff to distract because regardless of whatever the fuck they do, their voters will still vote for them.

all they have to do is flood the zone enough that the talking points overwhelm the centrist clowns into staying home once again
 
No way to tell whether it will or not with absolution, but the likelihood increases as Trump gets clowned on more and loses momentum.

Trump and Israel thought the attack would be quick and easy like with Venezuela and didn't account for Iran actually having backbone.
Agreed they anticipated Iranian people will overthrow but that didnt happen.

Killing the old mullah was probably decision if we look in this way he was terrible guy but on whole he was not extermist he was willing to negotiate and had contained bad elements of IRGC under control. With him and Larjani gone the extermists are running the shots .
 
he had bb's support from day 1 lol. bb has also been salivating at the chance to end iran for years. so if it was just a matter of bb's support, this shit woulda happened in his first term
and what makes you think BB wanted war in his first term? iirc Israel was prioritzing normalization with other Arab nations at the time.

he wasn't before the files. at least not too much

everyone besides hardcore maga cares about the files

ICE stuff happened, people were killed, and what exactly did that do to affect their support from their base? nothing

so yeah, they would absolutely use the ICE stuff to distract because regardless of whatever the fuck they do, their voters will still vote for them.

all they have to do is flood the zone enough that the talking points overwhelm the centrist clowns into staying home once again
again, I highly doubt people care that much. You are using terminally online talking point when the average voter cares more about economy and potential wars
 

Reborn

Throughout Heaven & Earth,I alone am d Honored One
Agreed they anticipated Iranian people will overthrow but that didnt happen.

Killing the old mullah was probably decision if we look in this way he was terrible guy but on whole he was not extermist he was willing to negotiate and had contained bad elements of IRGC under control. With him and Larjani gone the extermists are running the shots .
They killed Khamenei by accident. They didn't plan to kill him.

And, problem right now is not the extremists are running the Iran but their command structure is highly scattered. There's no single chain of command to pull things off.

To make matters worse, killing of Khamenei and other popular leaders, made Iran revengeful.

Right now they aren't thinking about what would happen to their ship. They are like if we are going down we will take you all with it.
 
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