Honestly, if it's up to me I would lead a wagon on Neeko but I don't see peeps voting for him and moving their vote away from Cooler, and to be fair. Cooler ain't helping himself at all in this situation and he is on his scum meta here so eh.
Among the players you mentioned, I do not like Phoenix, he indeed popped just to vote, has no observations and was among the ones that wanted to end this day quickly.
You are also quite quick to town read Kweh based on one post, I do not get a good vibe from him.
One thing about day 1 is that since we now know both leading wagons were Red, red players were likely to buss one of their mates to gain town cred, I would look at those that joined the wagons later when it seems likely that either Arp or Pero would be the lynch.