Reading Adam's posts on day 2 he was 90% sure that Ratchet was scum. Admittedly he did vote flower from page 56 and then unvoted and tagged me saying we should go for Ratchet on page 62.
After that, on day 3 when I got the guilty result on Hime, his posts were surprisingly about tinfoils like Michael being town, what the diamonds are about that Yo tan was collecting, concerned with T-Pein and Rej stuff and then said that from Juliet, cases on Hime and SK weren't big enough.
But he was also speculating about the IRA and bombing and I think it was revealed in the day phase that SK was an indie. Don't know why he didn't tinfoil SK being bomber or Arso then and is doing it now.
He even said in one post that Luca is red or indie before Luca flipped on page 84.