I guess hawkins (without going to insult him or declare him weak) needs to learn that his numbers not always count. A luffy with 19% of survivng rate is still something you can count on. I guess hawkins sticks to much to higher %, without trusting instincts or having trust in someone anyway. Thats why he joined the beast pirates directly and snitched Eustass Kid. Kid or Luffy never would have done something like that (kinda because they are stupid this way) and still, at the end of the day, these 2 will stand above Kaido, because they didnt cared about smaller chances, they took the 19% they had and made the best out of it. So i think, thats a problem with Hawkins, he is to sticked to these numbers.