No its just "SOME" strawhats and Kuma.
Yes for good reason, she has interacted with Luffy far more, and she has a post no matter what. So of course she is ahead.
And still Carrot is second.
Let's look at the differences:
- The Antagonistic introduction. 3% Both checks that. 3 % for both
- The Multi layered characterization. 5% Same 5% for both
- The Symbolic reach. 8% Carrot checks all the boxes but Kuma lacks the thematic incarnation (FOR NOW, at least in my interpretation, you can give me yours if you want) so he gets only 3/4 (6%) and Carrot 4/4 (8%)
- A Strong character arc. 9% Kuma (9%) checks, but not Carrot who had only a small character arc half the point (4%)
- Hint of the 2 driving forces. 10% Here we need a desire and a need. There is a clear need for Carrot but not desire, and (at least for now) no desire and no need for Kuma. So Carrot gets 5% and Kuma 0%
- The Rescue. 11% None get the point here
- A Tragedy. 12% Both gets 12% here
- The Double Nakama link. 13% Carrot loves Luffy enough to follow him but its not reciproque and there is no sign of Kuma following Luffy or Luffy wanting to recruit Kuma. So I gave 6 for Carrot here and 6 for Kuma (Nika follow)
- The Post. 14% Only Carrot gets the points here as no post as been foreshadowed for Kuma
- The Shining Nakama Action. 15% Only Carrot gets the points here as no actions related to a post were put in motion for Kuma
Meaning:
Carrot gets :
72%
And
Kuma gets:
41%
I tried and I can't erease any of those Pillar as they are foundamental to the creation and the characterization of a strawhat.
What Kuma lack is:
- A thematic incarnation (I believe we will have a confirmation of that next chapter) +2%
- A desire and a need. Kuma is blank right now. +10%
- To be rescued, I believe we will have that in the future +11%
- To be invited by Luffy +7
- A post +14%
- A action related to this post +15%
In short, I think Kuma can will at least go to 64%, but no more as I don't think he will have a post, be invited by Luffy or have an nice action related to the post.
As for Carrot, she lacks:
- A strong character arc +5
- A desire +5
- To be rescued by the gang +11
- To be invited by Luffy +7
This means that if Carrot goes back to the story and if Oda starts a character arc for her, it would mean that I'm right, and Carrot could EASILY go to 100% in less than a single arc.