Now i look back at TAC interactions(excluding tac fluffs post) with players. I deduce few things
Few players sussed him, questioned and interacted with him in meaningful way- Melon, yo tan , Reborn, Finalbeta and Jew d boy, Neutral watcher
Key point to consider is they all started Sussing him directly or interacted with him straight forwardly.
I think it's safe to assume that none of them is mafia as tac himself flipped mafia.
Didn't you town clear Melon, you explained in detail why Melon could not be Mafia based on Tac interactions.
what changed nw? Are you going after her because she sussed you last day phase?
These are tac posts - rest are just repetitive to same players or are fluffs.
I will quote players name and you can see what kind of interaction happened.
To Neutral watcher and tris(there is one or two similar posts like this)
To yo tan wa when he questioned him.
To zara (confirmed townie)
To me when I questioned him for being cooperative.
To jew when he indirectly implied he sus tac
To jew again
To me - the third player after gambit and sera to nit pick with my al reasoning
also to melon who sussed him for calling himself townie
To gambit
To gambit
To gambit and also to jew (same stuff as said earlier by him)
To yo tan wa when he sussed him for deliberately going inactive
To me when I asked why he sus beta and why he is not questioning him
So, based on his interaction and type of interaction I felt - yo tan, melon, nW, TRIS ,JEW can't be scum.
Drago was not there and cobra didn't interact with anyone.
Rayan and Marimo are being low key.
I was surprised to find out that nataljia and sera who usually go after tac had no interactions with him at all. There was no questioning against tac.
So that's why I asked them the questions.
Their is no weird logic but logical deduction.
Given Tac was killed by SK, it also make sense he would be killed by someone he interacted with, or someone he sussed or appeared as threat to. Was planning to look into these players once Gambit flipped Godfather, 🥴
Why was Sera targeted? The obvious answer, at least to me, is that it's a set up created by one, or both scums. Suppose this was the case. Who would benefit from this set up? The people that sussed Reborn.
Beta, Cobra, Sera. - Day 2
Beta, Cobra, Sera, Gambit - Day 3
Sera and Gambit are dead townies so that leaves us with Beta and Cobra. What were their reasons?
Day 3:
This was good read. Now on to my replies to it.
Given Drago kill was set up for Gambit, this is not far off.
And this also hints, it can't be Cobra and rather a decent player. Cobra framing Reborn don't make sense given the latter read him as townie. So i also don't think Cobra did this.
It could also be setup to frame Nat, which is what you did in this post
Beta:
Beta would benefit from framing Reborn this way. His reason is that his behavior is abnormal, and the moment he started sussing him was absolutely opportunistic/tunnel vision-y. But note today he is not sticking to Reborn but instead going for Nat. @Finalbeta do you still sus Reborn after Sera's death?
Beta sussing Nat back for sussing him is usual Beta. He will always do that regardless his alignment, but yes if he was SK, he would shade Reborn in some way, and he did.
I still stand by the opinion she and Reborn are the remaining scums.
but the point in Beta favour is, as a SK it's very risky to go after Reborn of all players. Constantly pushing Reborn, will make the latter to go through his posts in detail and if he was scum, he is bound to slip up and his chances of getting caught will increase, or get him mislynched by town due to bad game. And given Reborn is trusted as town leader in most games, others would also sus Beta more for sussing Reborn.
Now Final beta at times can yes be bold with strategies, but i feel like he wouldn't to this degree.
Tho this would have been good strategy on one front
Now let's say it wasn't a set up. Who was threatened by Sera? The people that Sera wanted to lynch.
Nat is one of them, Sera was down to lynch her next day phase. It's interesting how she jumped right into voting for Beta, without giving it a second thought. If this wasn't a set up, then it would absolutely benefit her to kill Sera, and get the blame on Beta in one go, since she believes Reborn is town (I'm pretty sure she said more than he's too useful)
.
Now, my theory is, since Sera was down to vote her, I had my vote on her, Yo didn't like her attitude and may have voted for her, she had to eliminate one of us. Yo would have had doctor on her, I think it would have been to obvious to kill me since I wrote two huge paragraphs on her, but Sera was perfect. And so this is why she will have my vote now again Vote Lynch Natalija @AL sama
Yes her vs Melo and her vs Yo Tan
If Gambit flips town then Reborn or Nat have to go
Yes Sera did.
But there's one more possibility i.e Night actions?
She flipped 180 degree on Gambit last dya phase, and strongly hinting this phase that she knows Beta is scum. I don't completely believes it, but i wouldn't mind chcking it out by voting Beta.
And if she turns out wrong, she most likely is our scum, or you or Reborn.
Another person that could be threatened by Sera is Yo. After analyzing their discussion last DP, I'd be inclined to say it was town vs town. Yo put way too much effort into Gambit, and all the evidence could have worked, but in the end it didn't.
If I missed anything please let me know
Threatened is wrong word, but i see your point yes.
And yes, it was Town vs Town, Sera flipped Town.
Yes two things you missed.
1) possibility of Reborn Killing Sera. With Gambit town flip, Sera would have had credibility and good chance to get Reborn lynched, so Reason is there fof Reborn to kill off Sera and since it is too obvious, it makes it possible for Reborn to do it and call it off by calling it obvious.
2) Players Sera sus D1 n D2. Could be he was onto someone but scum couldn't kill him thn, and did after D3 when he had interacted with many D3. I will look into this, but haven't got the time, and this post is already quite long one.
No faction Kill, is that the case in every Light Game? Because I played once and there were faction kills in it.
You been wrong on many things Beta this Game. 1. Saying Voting and hinting Night actions ti be Role claiming. 2. Faction killl not being there when a Goon is present.
When Info on Goon state he is Vanila Mafia beside Faction Kills and Godfather can.
@Finalbeta next time if you are really town, don't ignore my questions. I always read that as Bad, something Gambit also did D2 n D3 phase.
I think it might be close between Gambit and Reborn, I want to make sure we lynch the right person imo
Melon what did you had on
@Reborn?
You were on to Nat and Gambit is self explanatory, but putting Reborn above Nat as your primary option for lynch with Gambit?
But thn you didn't persue Reborn this day phase, didn't even consider the possibility Reborn could have killed Sera himself, why?
What changed on Reborn for you?