[FNZ] Role Madness Round 10: Kakegurui

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Marimo_420

The Honoured One
Inactivity does not biunivocally match her mafia-sided meta, I recall myriad games for which she was scarcely committed, yet simultaneously flipping town.
But you're gonna sus probably the most townie in this thread?



Stand united for the vote. The more split votes we have the better chance of survival Light has.
I still think Krog, Queen or Beta is the more sus. If its between anyone else and light though, I will be voting against light.
 

Finalbeta

Zoro Worshipper
But you're gonna sus probably the most townie in this thread?
My sus finds its roots in the original nexus between Celestia and Cinera. Concomitantly, I explained that Reborn's performance appears rather far-fetched to me.

His reads don't quite hit the sweetest notes and seem contrived.
 
My sus finds its roots in the original nexus between Celestia and Cinera. Concomitantly, I explained that Reborn's performance appears rather far-fetched to me.

His reads don't quite hit the sweetest notes and seem contrived.
I don't believe Reborn is scum to be honest. I feel he is indie or 3rd himself but not mafia or a killer.
 

Jew D. Boy

I Can Go Lower
I just don’t see Light as scum at the moment, but going purely off the numbers, I think he must be...TAC’s forcefulness in voting him right off the bat could be a ploy, although I think he also leans town right now, but I feel like he did so because he learned something unequivocal and can’t claim it here. Not voting just yet.

@Queen You’re still pretty quiet, wanna give your reads or defend yourself from some accusations?
 

TheAncientCenturion

I will never forgive Oda
‎‎‎
I just don’t see Light as scum at the moment, but going purely off the numbers, I think he must be...TAC’s forcefulness in voting him right off the bat could be a ploy, although I think he also leans town right now, but I feel like he did so because he learned something unequivocal and can’t claim it here. Not voting just yet.

@Queen You’re still pretty quiet, wanna give your reads or defend yourself from some accusations?
Jew my boy. All I want for Christmas is Light hung at the gallows.

Trust me this one time.
 

Light D Lamperouge

𝖂𝖍𝖆𝖙 𝕮𝖔𝖚𝖑𝖉 𝕳𝖆𝖛𝖊 𝕭𝖊𝖊𝖓
I just don’t see Light as scum at the moment, but going purely off the numbers, I think he must be...TAC’s forcefulness in voting him right off the bat could be a ploy, although I think he also leans town right now, but I feel like he did so because he learned something unequivocal and can’t claim it here. Not voting just yet.
Man, as I keep telling you, I am not scum of any kind. If I were I would have killed TAC d1, even if it cost me being lynched.

If I were scum I would have killed TAC off the bat, and then kill Reborn, who is the most experienced player here and probing around mostly. That way I'd secure two of the biggest threats, and fulfill a wish of killing TAC.

I'll tell you what I said earlier as well. TAC cannot have anything on me. Please, think about why I am saying this. I obviously cannot say anymore due to the rules. Note that he's overeager and desperate to lynch me, but as I said earlier he cannot have anything on me.

Take a look back as well. My play is not that of a scum. I pestered TAC about unvoting Cinera. There's zero reasons for me to do that if I were his partner. There would be zero reason for me to kill Nat who agreed with me. Like if I were scum of any kind I'd kill him immediately. That's like 30 percent of why I am even playing this game.
 

Reborn

Throughout Heaven & Earth,I alone am d Honored One
Because I thought and feel Sera was more scummy then Reborn so why let Reborn get lynched.

Honest I don't like that there are 3 kills every night, that is insanely bloody.

We've gotten 1 mafia lynched
1 town lynched
1 town modkilled
3 towns killed at night.

There is most def 2 different killing roles as I don't think Mafia would have 2 kills.
This is the only issue I am not able to understand.


I haven't seen vig shooting someone on first two consecutive nights and more so on first night.


Mafia generally have only faction kill.


So that means we have two third party roles that can kill. But that doesn't make sense.


Btw, is their any role that kills people who visit him/her?
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Man, as I keep telling you, I am not scum of any kind. If I were I would have killed TAC d1, even if it cost me being lynched.

If I were scum I would have killed TAC off the bat, and then kill Reborn, who is the most experienced player here and probing around mostly. That way I'd secure two of the biggest threats, and fulfill a wish of killing TAC.

I'll tell you what I said earlier as well. TAC cannot have anything on me. Please, think about why I am saying this. I obviously cannot say anymore due to the rules. Note that he's overeager and desperate to lynch me, but as I said earlier he cannot have anything on me.

Take a look back as well. My play is not that of a scum. I pestered TAC about unvoting Cinera. There's zero reasons for me to do that if I were his partner. There would be zero reason for me to kill Nat who agreed with me. Like if I were scum of any kind I'd kill him immediately. That's like 30 percent of why I am even playing this game.
Your argument has flaws.

Tac was already getting sussed on day one and on beginning of day two.

Scums don't kill those who are getting sussed.

Also, there was failed attempt to kill on N1 and two such fail attempts on N2.

So how can we be sure that either me or jew wasn't Targeted last night? We can't.


Frankly speaking, I am more interested in queen as of now because her meta is going too off for my liking.


But tac is damn sure that you are scum.

And why you?

If tac is scum then mislynching any townie would work but why only you?


And, a scum pushing a lynch on single townie taking such huge risk of exposing himself doesn't add up. Scum can kill at night so they don't have to push someone lynch so hardly during day.

Are you following why I have vote on you?




As far as final is concerned then he is done deal anyway. His days are over and I can absolutely gurantee you that.
 
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So does this mean we have at least two- third party memebes or can mafia each go for a kill?

For now I will go with krog as prime sus. Don't know about beta or light.
two indie killers or mafia having more than 1 killer would make a 15 players game unbalanced
the most plausible reason for 3 kills in a night would be: mafia, indie killer and vigi
Final’s up to something, I’m more convinced now than ever before. Queen also dipped out before saying much of anything, but purely by portrayal, Final’s the most suspicious to me right now.

Vote Lynch Final
do you think FB is the indie killer?
Then if we’re assuming (for now) that Final is a jester...

Unvote Lynch Final
why you unvoted him so quickly with a bs reason?
Announcement: There are no jesters in this game.
@Jew D. Boy and you didn't keep sussing beta after this
What it transpires from TAC's doggedness is that he found out Light to be a killing role.

I personally believe that Light is the SK.

If my estimations about Reborn and krog are correct, they constitute the remaining mafia components instead.
expand on that idea
I changed my mind about krog being probably town too, why reborn though?
Jesus himself could descend from heaven to defend Light, and I’d still lynch Light. Just after lynching Jesus.
@Kiwipom is there an executioner in this game?
Because I thought and feel Sera was more scummy then Reborn so why let Reborn get lynched.

Honest I don't like that there are 3 kills every night, that is insanely bloody.

We've gotten 1 mafia lynched
1 town lynched
1 town modkilled
3 towns killed at night.

There is most def 2 different killing roles as I don't think Mafia would have 2 kills.
you mean 2 indie killers? in a 15 players game? explain how that would be possible
My sus finds its roots in the original nexus between Celestia and Cinera. Concomitantly, I explained that Reborn's performance appears rather far-fetched to me.

His reads don't quite hit the sweetest notes and seem contrived.
this post answers my question above, it doesn't seem convincing though
I just don’t see Light as scum at the moment, but going purely off the numbers, I think he must be...TAC’s forcefulness in voting him right off the bat could be a ploy, although I think he also leans town right now, but I feel like he did so because he learned something unequivocal and can’t claim it here. Not voting just yet.

@Queen You’re still pretty quiet, wanna give your reads or defend yourself from some accusations?
I already defended myself from the accusations before, it seems there is no new accusations, just my lack of my activity that I already explained before
I would like to hear more from @Light D Lamperouge and @krogothwolf before giving my reads
give me your reads too
 

Reborn

Throughout Heaven & Earth,I alone am d Honored One
There is very important thing I noticed when I was going through the thread again.



TAC - his behaviour indicate that he has something on light. Now this imply that he is kind of invest role because apart from such roles no other role can be sure that someone is scum.


Now both mafia and Town can have invest role. Third party usually don't have such role.

But look what I noticed......


This is Cinera role
You're Mary Saotome

[Active - Information broker] - Each night she may investigate a player and learn their character name and alignment.

Cinera was mafia with invest role. So I don't think tac is Mafia which I said yesterday itself based on how he was the First one to vote cinera on day one


So now there are two possibilities.
1) tac is third party.


Third party don't have invest roles generally.

And, a third party role won't risk pushing someone lynch so hard because if it turns out to be mislynch then it will expose him badly with no saving him.

2)he is townie
So if we believe tac and that he is some kind of invest role who has some concrete information on light then tac is townie.




Now Queen brought up an interesting point and that is executioner.

Executioner have to Lynch someone for sure to win.

But if I see the game balance of 15 players game...then mafia generally have 3/4 players and they have faction kill.

But apart from this we are getting two kills and I really doubt it's vig doing.

Because vig can't shoot anyone randomly as generally if vig misfires then they will either commit Suicide or will lose their power so until vig is sure that someone is scum they don't shoot at night.

So I doubt vig is trying to kill at night.

Either we have two third party killing roles(if yes and this is Bs) or there is some hidden mechanic which is working over here like" if a player is visted by someone then that visiting player would die"


executioner is a possibility but then having this as well along with three killing at nights is just too damn fukn harsh on us.


Moving on to NW.

Last night NW was killed. If we look at his role then he could distract and prevent someone from taking action.

Two kills failed last night. This means one of the kill was most likely prevented by Neutral watcher.

Now after initial interaction with him, NW later on gave his reads. And to him there were two sus. Look at his post below.

He had sus on queen and marimo.

I am sus of Queen right now. She said she didn't mind Cinera's reason for voting Finalbeta and at the same time she said she would vote Cinera if she had to choose who she would vote. This doesn't add up. Why did she say she would vote Cinera when she said she didn't disagree with Cinera's reason for voting Finalbeta?

My other sus might be Marimo. I think he was the third person to vote Finalbeta. so he kinda sus imo. But since he is new player I think it's not a good case to sus him but I saw this post:

.
Imo NW won't block any random person. He will block whom he had strong sus on.

So if we go by his reads then there is at least one scum among queen and marimo.
 

Jew D. Boy

I Can Go Lower
two indie killers or mafia having more than 1 killer would make a 15 players game unbalanced
the most plausible reason for 3 kills in a night would be: mafia, indie killer and vigi

do you think FB is the indie killer?

why you unvoted him so quickly with a bs reason?

@Jew D. Boy and you didn't keep sussing beta after this

expand on that idea
I changed my mind about krog being probably town too, why reborn though?

@Kiwipom is there an executioner in this game?

you mean 2 indie killers? in a 15 players game? explain how that would be possible

this post answers my question above, it doesn't seem convincing though

I already defended myself from the accusations before, it seems there is no new accusations, just my lack of my activity that I already explained before
I would like to hear more from @Light D Lamperouge and @krogothwolf before giving my reads
give me your reads too
I haven’t stopped sussing Final despite the unvote (which was made in advance of Kiwi’s announcement), but the TAC and Light stuff has taken precedence right now. Reborn also believes Final is scummy, but opted to vote Light as he thinks he’s a more pressing concern. I’m not sure how I feel about that; my main reason for unvoting Final was that following through would have led to him winning, and I haven’t yet been swayed to vote Light, but going back in on Final at the moment wouldn’t have much impact in the face of the majority.

As far as my reads, not sure where I stand on Rayan, feel like he hasn’t said much; Marimo feels a little scummy, I don’t care about the “new player” stipulation (and based on the number of townie deaths, the odds aren’t necessarily in his favor); I have absolutely no read on krogo, either he’s barely posted or I’m otherwise not seeing his stuff; Reborn, TAC, and Light...one of them is scum, I’m still leaning towards the third.
 
There is very important thing I noticed when I was going through the thread again.



TAC - his behaviour indicate that he has something on light. Now this imply that he is kind of invest role because apart from such roles no other role can be sure that someone is scum.


Now both mafia and Town can have invest role. Third party usually don't have such role.

But look what I noticed......


This is Cinera role
You're Mary Saotome

[Active - Information broker] - Each night she may investigate a player and learn their character name and alignment.

Cinera was mafia with invest role. So I don't think tac is Mafia which I said yesterday itself based on how he was the First one to vote cinera on day one


So now there are two possibilities.
1) tac is third party.


Third party don't have invest roles generally.

And, a third party role won't risk pushing someone lynch so hard because if it turns out to be mislynch then it will expose him badly with no saving him.

2)he is townie
So if we believe tac and that he is some kind of invest role who has some concrete information on light then tac is townie.




Now Queen brought up an interesting point and that is executioner.

Executioner have to Lynch someone for sure to win.

But if I see the game balance of 15 players game...then mafia generally have 3/4 players and they have faction kill.

But apart from this we are getting two kills and I really doubt it's vig doing.

Because vig can't shoot anyone randomly as generally if vig misfires then they will either commit Suicide or will lose their power so until vig is sure that someone is scum they don't shoot at night.

So I doubt vig is trying to kill at night.

Either we have two third party killing roles(if yes and this is Bs) or there is some hidden mechanic which is working over here like" if a player is visted by someone then that visiting player would die"


executioner is a possibility but then having this as well along with three killing at nights is just too damn fukn harsh on us.


Moving on to NW.

Last night NW was killed. If we look at his role then he could distract and prevent someone from taking action.

Two kills failed last night. This means one of the kill was most likely prevented by Neutral watcher.

Now after initial interaction with him, NW later on gave his reads. And to him there were two sus. Look at his post below.

He had sus on queen and marimo.



Imo NW won't block any random person. He will block whom he had strong sus on.

So if we go by his reads then there is at least one scum among queen and marimo.
tac can't be mafia or indie killer, I understand it
the third killing WAS a vigilante doing, this was vigilante in kiwi's last game (AOT): Vigilante: You can choose to shoot your target, killing them. This ability has 2 usages.
No punishment for random shooting
3-4 mafia + 2 indie killers + executioner would be overkill, I agree, so we could very well have an executioner instead of the second indie killer
I don't really think tac is an executioner though lol, I think we have a survivor sided with town instead of executioner: rayan or jew d boy
I'm waiting light to see if he can convince me not to vote him
I'm also sussing Krogothwolf
also nw blocked someone whom he had strong sus on and he still got killed at night, how does that make me and marimo look bad?
 
This is the only issue I am not able to understand.


I haven't seen vig shooting someone on first two consecutive nights and more so on first night.


Mafia generally have only faction kill.


So that means we have two third party roles that can kill. But that doesn't make sense.


Btw, is their any role that kills people who visit him/her?
Honestly I can't believe a vig would be shooting willy nilly. Vigs usually even in role madness games have x-shot abilities or even/odd. And even if they didn't a vig blind firing 2 nights in a row is insane.

There is a chance there's a vet type role yeah, not as common in mafia but they do exist.

@Queen I know it sounds unbalanced but a vig just shooting willy nilly is not believable.
 
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