Here's where we both disagree I guess
Because I happen to believe Luffy will be in critical condition between life and death after a big loss incoming in this act
Based on:
1- Hawkins statement of "your survival after a month is 19%" where Hawkins gave duration of a month, and it's been only 2 weeks. So the arc will last for at least 2 extra week and maybe extra few days after recovery to make a counter
2- based on the fact that Act 3, has not ended, and act three ends on a dramatic tragedy... since Oden death was not that tragedy that ended the act... that means the tragedy has NOT happened yet... I expect a big defeat, slaughter, and for Luffy to stay unconscious between life and death situation for quite sometime before they make a comeback