Its a 50/50, chances of one being scum is high tbh. There seems to be a resistance to either pushes rn, as votes keep coming from one of each as im seeing it so far.
Nat and Usopp are not a team, this much is almost certain now, so high doubt of this being some 5D chess, one flip will tell everything about the other person, they may still be indie(if they exist in this game) and we go from there.
Nat and Flower are at Odds too, and Flowa pushed her and was voting her before i showed up.
So this is another one that will somewhat clear things.
And i'm not forgetting all the people who opportunistically jumped on the Usopp thing like Light who mind you, didn't have either voted up up until the very end. Almost like he was waiting to see which way the pendulum was swinging or something.