Like all the people who are reminding me of this (be careful because she still has a chance) you are confusing a fundamental thing:
A theory is not an analysis
I made both in case of Carrot. My theory was supported by my analysis. Let's take a metaphor:
Do you see this birdhouse ?
Very sweet, right ? If you had to make a description of this bird house, you would say that it is composed of 6, maybe more small rooms, roofs and a little stair, right ?
And if someone asks you "what will happen with this bird house ?", you would say that there are high chances that birds take nest in one of those chambers, right ?
But, you wouldn't say directly that this birdhouse is not real, right ?
Well that's the same thing here :
One Piece is the photography of this birdhouse
My analysis of Carrot's path is the description of the birdhouse
My theory is the fact of saying that a bird will come to nest in the house
The Carrot theory and the analysis of the story of Carrot are two separate things, but to make a Carrot theory, I need to stand on a description of the analysis of her story.
An analysis is a description of what makes the story what it is. For example, a point of the analysis of Carrot is that Carrot was created to be a symbolic bridge between the concept of night and the concept of the day or between the sun and the moon. Said assertion can be created by observing various parameters in :
- Carrot's characterization
- Carrot's story
- Carrot's personnality
- Carrot's design
A theory is not that.
A theory is the model created to support an hypothesis. In my case, the hypothesis was : "Carrot will be on the Sunny after wano and Join the group". This was completed by a reasonning and a form of point distribution system to see which character was the closest to join the group and if Carrot really had the potential to join.
My reasonning and methodology was SOMEWHAT correct (even if it wasn't perfect)
BUT
My hypothesis was proven false.
Therefore my theory was proven false.
BUT
My analysis of the story of Carrot is STILL correct. Just like your description of this birdhouse would still be correct, even if a bird never comes to nest in.
That's why I keep telling people that despite being proven false, it doesn't change much. Carrot still has a potential and something somewhere happened that is not logical (unless, Oda prepares something for her at the moment, and if so.. it's gonna be big)