Well, Obama left him 19 billions debt with consequnces of his rule...ofcourse to recover economy you need charge it with greens...so if not COVID I feel thing would play out differently.
Trump only had overseas conflicts that he was able to de-escalate(so less spending) and no recession, but he still packed up 2.5 Trillion in 3 years. Once again, that's ALOT. Trump was bringing the economy back up yes, but he was also burying the country in debt and severing international connections.