It's not. Oda's timelines are not the slightest bit credible.
There are at least 3 major fighting arcs left:
And there are potential minor fighting arcs left:
Oda choose to reinforce Zoro vs Mihawk after Zoro defeated King. If Oda did not still plan for Zoro to fight Mihawk, he wouldn't have done that.
- Elbaf
- Raftel
- The Final War
And there are potential minor fighting arcs left:
- Lodestar
- Vegapunk
Oda choose to reinforce Zoro vs Mihawk after Zoro defeated King. If Oda did not still plan for Zoro to fight Mihawk, he wouldn't have done that.
Percentage Statements:
- Oda's editor Sugita said timeskip was half the series = 50%
http://www.onepiecepodcast.com/2015...nterview-with-one-piece-editor-suguru-sugita/
- End of Punk Hazard, Oda estimates the series is 60% done
https://onepiece.fandom.com/wiki/One_Piece_Newspaper
- At the beginning of WCI, Oda estimates the series is 70% done
http://www.onepiecepodcast.com/2016/07/23/one-piece-actually-70-story-probably/
- At the beginning of Wano, Oda estimates the series is 80% done
https://www.opfanpage.com/2018/07/22/oda-revealed-one-piece-story-is-80-finished/
So you can see the percentage estimates are surprisingly consistent and not just some nonsense. When One Piece was 80% (beginning of Wano), you could roughly calculate that about 7 years are left of the manga. So, there should be roughly 4 years left after Wano.
Direct Statements:
Oda first said he wants to finish the story in 5 years in a TV interview =>
https://www.animenewsnetwork.com/ne...ro-oda-i-want-to-end-story-in-5-years/.150684
His editor Naito reaffirms that Oda wants to finish the story in 5 years =>
https://www.animenewsnetwork.com/ne...ates-on-plans-to-end-manga-in-5-years/.153283
Later, in a TV interview, Oda (again) said he will finish OP in 4-5 years =>
He also reaffirmed the estimate in SBS 97. So far Oda said the ~5 year estimate four times or more. There is no mistake that he genuinely wants to finish the story within 5 years. Will he be able to do it? Idk, but one thing is sure he is not stretching it to 8-10 years.
Final Arc Statement:
In Oda's message after chapter 1000: "Luffy's adventure is near the final arc"
In SBS 97: "Right now Luffy is in Wano. But if Luffy manages to survive and sail away, I will draw major international developments and the biggest battle in One Piece history"
That clearly shows we are getting only one big arc after Wano. There is probably room for a small arc which can be squeezed between Wano and the final arc, but there wont be two major arcs after Wano.
Oda's health:
Oda's health is another big factor. He was hospitalized a few years back if I remember correctly. Writing a manga over 20+ years takes its toll on the body. At Jump festa 2022 message, he talked about his stiff shoulders and back pain.
TL,DR:
- Oda has been pretty consistent with his estimates
- He genuinely wants to finish it within 4-5 years, its not a joke
- There will be only one major arc after Wano
Even if you disagree, lets assume for the time being that One Piece has 4-5 years left. How come Zoro gets two major 1on1 fights in that case? Before King, Zoro's last major 1on1 against Pica was 6 years back. Remember that a good amount of remaining chapters will be spent on One Piece lores, not in actual fights.
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